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In Croatia, protests were held against 5G technology, particularly its perceived negative health effects. Large-scale energy and mining projects, especially Chinese investments, continue in the region despite the pandemic, stranding foreign workers inside the country as the borders remain closed ( Eurasianet, ).

The workers also wanted to return to China due to concerns over the spread of coronavirus in Tajikistan, which authorities only acknowledged weeks after the pandemic took hold in the region ( Eurasianet, ).

In a separate development, a rare protest took place in the Sughd region of Tajikistan, as Chinese employees of a zinc mine in Zornisor clashed with the police while demanding unpaid salaries, resulting in dozens of injured demonstrators ( RFE/RL, ). Protests related to the coronavirus crisis took place in multiple regions of Kyrgyzstan, with people held in hospitals and quarantine facilities requesting permission from the authorities to self-quarantine. In several states across India including Gujarat, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, and Bihar, migrant workers continued to demonstrate violently and clash with security forces, demanding they be allowed to travel back to their home states. In Bangladesh, readymade garment factory workers clashed with police in Dhaka division while demanding unpaid salaries, Eid bonuses, and the reinstatement of jobs lost due to the coronavirus lockdown. One protest by students in Bangkok called for the government to cut the defense budget rather than reduce spending on relief efforts amid the coronavirus pandemic. In Thailand, protests were held to commemorate the anniversary of the military coup in 2014. In Cambodia, factory workers protested over unpaid wages while parents in Phnom Penh called for a reduction in tuition due to financial hardship resulting from the pandemic. In Indonesia, multiple protests called for greater government assistance. Watch this space for monitoring and follow the latest from the COVID-19 Disorder Tracker on Twitter using #CDT.ĭemonstrations related to the coronavirus in Southeast Asia concentrated largely on the financial impact of the pandemic. This page will be regularly updated with CDT Forecasts, Bulletins, Spotlight reports highlighting specific countries and trends, and more. The pandemic is still in its early stages and we expect trends to continue to evolve, especially in light of the exponential growth that can occur in numbers infected. At the same time, non-state actors may see the crisis as an opportunity to make ‘big moves’ and ramp up activity

Overall armed conflict rates may remain stable, yet the composition of conflict will change: militaries may decrease their activity as states divert resources to combat the pandemic.

Mob violence too will rise, with vigilantes targeting marginalized groups, such as those suspected of being infected and Asian communities, amid an increase in general xenophobia.

State repression will rise, especially in authoritarian states, under the guise of strict adherence to health security standards.

While demonstration activity may initially spike in response to state management of the pandemic, it will soon decline as a function of concern over the spread of the virus, new medical guidelines, and/or government travel and assembly restrictions.

The CDT aims to track and evaluate the trends: The COVID-19 Disorder Tracker (CDT) will provide special coverage of the pandemic’s impact on disorder around the world. Through the duration of the crisis, ACLED’s global network of remote researchers will continue to track these trends in real-time, publishing data on political violence and protest on a weekly basis to support ongoing research, policymaking, and humanitarian efforts. Such a quickly evolving situation requires regular and reliable monitoring. How will COVID-19 impact trends in global disorder? How will it change the trajectory of conflict and demonstration patterns around the world? Even as the United Nations has called for an immediate global ceasefire to deal with “the true fight of our lives” ( AP, 23 March 2020 ), some non-state armed groups like the Islamic State see the crisis as an opportunity to go on the offensive ( DW, 23 March 2020 ). From China to Italy and the United States, many countries are taking unprecedented steps to curb the outbreak, with wide-ranging and uncertain repercussions for stability and security around the world. The rapid spread of the novel coronavirus and COVID-19 has caused a global pandemic.